4 Important Factors to Consider While Betting on Tennis

Compared to other sports, tennis is more complex in terms of pairings and context.


It’s common knowledge that a hardwood court will be used for basketball games. Gamblers may be certain that the game will begin on a grass or turf field measuring 100 yards long and 160 feet wide. A simple explanation cannot be given for the complexity of tennis.

There are three different types of tennis court surfaces used in the ATP and WTA tournaments, and each one has the potential to alter the outcome of a match drastically. Remember that players might constantly exhibit various performances and analytics on each surface, and it is up to you as a bettor to decide how to prioritize such outcomes.

While Casper Ruud has an 80% victory record on clay, he is only at 50% on grass and below 35% on hard courts over the last year.

Most professional tennis is played on hard courts. In most of the United States, even in local parks, you may expect to see courts like this. Each hard court is somewhat different, but they all have the same essential attributes and are among the quickest surfaces the professionals play on.

The second most popular surface to witness professionals play on is clay courts. Almost all professional clay courts are manufactured from red clay, primarily found in Europe and South America. Since the ball slows down while bouncing on the clay, the effect of power is somewhat diminished, leading to protracted rallies and favoring players with superior groundstrokes.

Grass courts are the most unusual surface on tour, only appearing during the grass swing that precedes and includes Wimbledon in the summer. Low-bounce courts are easily recognizable since they have always provided the greatest benefit to powerful serves.

The outcome of a match may vary greatly depending on the surface it is being played on since each player has their preferences and sets of benefits and drawbacks while playing on each surface.

Exhaustion and Travel

Odds in tennis reflect the fact that it is one of the most situationally dependent sports there is.

Since there are tournaments practically every week of the year, tennis players get an impressive amount of practice time (or doubles team). Because of this, players may have to play a match on varying amounts of rest, and travel time must also be factored in.

A player who lives in Cincinnati but is competing in a tournament in Toronto may only have two days of rest before facing an opponent who has had five days off.

Even while odds makers will consider these considerations when setting lines for specific matches, it is still vital to notice whether a player is worth betting on because of their degree of rest, especially in grand slams when matches may go to five sets.

When assessing a match, keep these factors in mind at all times.

Save Percentage and Break Point Conversion

Large-scale events are crucial to the success of a tennis match. Although every point is equal in principle, in practice, some may be crucial to the game’s outcome, while others may be negligible. Never forget that the public’s activity, not oddsmakers, controls the tennis betting markets.

Break points are the clearest sign when servers are on the approach of losing a game they are well favored to win. Of course, the specifics of each match and each player’s performance determine the answers to these questions. Still, it can increase earnings by focusing on individuals who excel in certain situations.

If you look at the records of Rafael Nadal and Novak Djokovic, you’ll see that they both have wins against Roger Federer. It is crucial to successfully defend break points when serving and convert them while returning.

Nadal has a lifetime 45% break point conversion rate, Djokovic a 44.5% rate, and Federer a 41% rate.

This doesn’t prove that Nadal and Djokovic are superior tennis players to their Swiss opponents. Still, it shows that they can better maintain their focus and concentration throughout the tensest points of a match. That may significantly alter the outcome of games.

Player Niches

The human factor is what differentiates team sports from solo sports. The sport’s mental difficulty is amplified by the fact that it relies on a single person’s performance. Because of this, some players excel in specific contexts while consistently failing in others.

Take Denis Kudla as an example of a player in this regard. With a global ranking of 92, he is hardly setting the circuit on fire. In contrast to the top ten players like Stefanos Tsitsipas, Andrey Rublev, and Matteo Berrettini, Kudla has the fourth-highest winning % on tour in the last year after dropping the first set.

On the other hand, after taking the first set, Felix Auger-Aliassime, the world’s number two player, had a 97% victory percentage in the previous year.

When you consider that Aliassime’s 2nd best record (30-1) is behind only world No. 1 Djokovic and that he only has a 21% win percentage (49th best) after losing the first set, you can understand why this is so impressive.

Bettors may get helpful information from these figures, even though many other aspects must also be considered. Visit fairplay for more information. There is potential for greater live betting chances and pre-match advantages in specialized markets like this.